Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.401743 3.612886 3.836050 4.090464 4.373673 4.680667 5.040521
2025-10-05 3.076443 3.376424 3.711475 4.117355 4.601196 5.166768 5.889124
2025-10-12 2.901132 3.253269 3.661341 4.176966 4.822912 5.622581 6.717084
2025-10-19 2.772301 3.161696 3.626363 4.234104 5.028070 6.061846 7.570019
2025-10-26 2.655851 3.070409 3.577075 4.259117 5.182845 6.440718 8.387913
2025-11-02 2.539358 2.967992 3.502107 4.238416 5.266493 6.722200 9.100134
2025-11-09 2.402117 2.829599 3.369757 4.127458 5.209675 6.788358 9.478971
2025-11-16 2.296016 2.724526 3.273164 4.055665 5.198206 6.914846 9.970327
2025-11-23 2.239616 2.680250 3.253128 4.086388 5.335640 7.281906 10.942468
2025-11-30 2.180577 2.628855 3.219514 4.093662 5.435741 7.597634 11.883974
2025-12-07 2.082744 2.521133 3.103065 3.972705 5.326011 7.548496 12.095589
2025-12-14 1.996919 2.426290 3.000165 3.865538 5.229345 7.510513 12.322049
2025-12-21 1.929642 2.357081 2.934004 3.815380 5.230289 7.662134 13.035047
2025-12-28 1.888241 2.322037 2.914845 3.835696 5.349798 8.047577 14.401245
2026-01-04 1.860080 2.303622 2.917760 3.888926 5.528008 8.568653 16.287898
2026-01-11 1.833209 2.285515 2.919634 3.939731 5.705903 9.117788 18.496541
2026-01-18 1.800261 2.257218 2.904729 3.961960 5.834057 9.585591 20.711452
2026-01-25 1.758657 2.214842 2.866684 3.943564 5.885158 9.894725 22.589534
2026-02-01 1.698671 2.144001 2.782985 3.844850 5.776899 9.828799 23.111248
2026-02-08 1.650835 2.089371 2.721903 3.780877 5.730115 9.900030 24.212325
2026-02-15 1.628506 2.071090 2.715357 3.808264 5.862161 10.418217 27.493158
2026-02-22 1.602281 2.046149 2.697388 3.814745 5.953083 10.853030 30.817443
2026-03-01 1.550198 1.981608 2.615775 3.706854 5.804220 10.649234 30.819758